Director of the institute for strategic studies, the national defense university: don’t underestimate the trump

the author: Yang yi time: on March 29, 2018,

editor’s note: Beijing strategic industry to discuss & other; Under the condition of the competition pattern of China and the United States & throughout; Former director of the institute, the strategy of China’s national defense university, embassy attache, Yang yi, famous scholars, looking forward to the strategic adjustment and its leverage China’s top three choices.

trump on strategic issues across the chaotic period of

in the current china-us relations are experiencing a turning point, Yang yi, in the first three Pacific securities & other; One Belt And One Road & other; Throughout the &; Internal BBS on new ideas. ?

look at first, the us strategic adjustment which influence on the world.

from the different concepts of space and time and latitude Angle of view, different strategy problem, can draw different conclusions. We analyze the strategic adjustment, from the comprehensive strategic perspective.

trump government in December 2017 issued a “national security strategy report” is an important symbol, this is the government strategy & trump other Shape & throughout; , & other Adult ceremony & throughout; . The rest of the strategy report, such as: the defense strategy report, the nuclear posture review NPR and trump’s first state of the union, the national security strategy report are determined the national grand strategy in different areas of the concrete embodiment.

trump took more than a year since the implementation of policies is changing in the United States. In a sense, is changing the world. The adjustment of American policy affects global world, influence greatly. American strategic direction is our important reference to strategic judgment and decision making.

so, how to interpret the “national security strategy report” in the United States and the national defense strategy report, and through the two strategic reports to determine the strategic direction of the United States?

the national security strategy report with trump characteristics and the characteristics of traditional comprehensive characteristics, but on the whole, maintain the continuity of the us national security strategy, especially in the basic strategy within the framework of (security strategy four major goals: to protect the American people, promote the prosperity and strength to maintain peace and promote American influence). In a sense, also can say, the two important strategy report, marks a trump after was elected in national security strategy of the chaos and uncertainty, return to the orbit of the traditional strategy.

report, marks a new U.S. administration strategy of overall shape end (fragmentation) and clarifications (end fuzzy chaos), the original tone inconsistent (departments). Although the future there will be some trump & other; Improvisation of & throughout; Going to some it is hard to predict, the trick, however, the policy will not happen big changes.

& other; Abnormal & throughout; Turn piece Big competition coming

in November 2017, the President of the United States with big trump trade group’s visit to China.

the strategy of the national security strategy report marked the return & other; Normal & throughout; Or return & other; The old normal & throughout; , including Henry kissinger, zbigniew brzezinski argues that the powers of the political balance theory. After the end of the cold war, the United States and other Shearing dominating throughout the &; , fukuyama’s & other; The end of history & throughout; The theory is very popular. At that time, China has not too much, drinking some get carried away in the cold war the United States. But 911 event triggered the anger, the continuous wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, terrorism involving greatly consumed America’s strategic energy and resources. Now return to political power of the traditional way of thinking, is very natural.

judgment to the challenge of the security threat from the United States, for & other; Three big challenges throughout the sort &; To determine key is & other; Big competition & throughout; . This is one of the most obvious change since 911, more prominent power competition strategic challenge to the United States, especially between China and Russia on the priority. In recent years, China and Russia overall strength and influence increased with shrink America’s political strategy, form a contrast.

outstanding trump put forward in the report of the U.S. strategy & other; Throughout America &; , which fully embodies in two important report, many problems expression way has strong & other Trump characteristics & throughout; .

if you carefully read the content of the two report, especially the core ideas and strategic moves, you can see, the overall train of thought and the traditional strategic track returned to the United States. Major maintenance American hegemony, with hard and soft power, including military force, support, and for the United States to seek greater benefits (even by & other; Throughout beggar-thy-neighbour way &;) .

strategic way choice: a realistic principle, focus on results, not marked by ideology, rely on the strength of lay particular stress on, especially hard power. For the use of military force, emphasis on dealing with various size and various styles of the great war, no longer cut the size of the military force, at the same time to strengthen the level of modernization. To maintain and enhance its nuclear Arsenal, intelligence, modernization and scale space, Internet and other new areas, has published “the defense strategy report” and “nuclear posture review NPR is fully reflect the strategic moves in the field of military.

the United States “nuclear posture review NPR” revealed many disturbing signals, such as: building & other; Colombia & throughout; Level strategic nuclear submarines to replace & other; The Ohio & throughout; Class nuclear submarines, development, and deployment & other; B – 21 attackers & throughout; The next generation bomber, alternative B – 52 h bombers and B – 2 a & other; Contact & throughout; Strategic bombers, nuclear strike capability will be greatly increased. R&d submarine-launched and surface ships launched cruise missile, onboard cruise missile, when it is necessary to conduct a nuclear test, research and development of low-yield nuclear warheads, these measures are actually lowers the threshold of a nuclear attack.

China needs to do well the strategic management

we must not underestimate the trump policy impact on the world pattern, trump is not completely unreliable, compared with the traditional American politicians, trump a more pragmatic, more & other; It will line, in deed & throughout; , for more than a year, he is gradually implement his campaign promises.

in the White House after trump, successively degrading to withdraw from the international commitments (TPP, climate treaty of Paris, etc.), abandoning the multilateral mechanism, mercenary, is proud, lining, more practical, in the face of such a & other; Mix horizontal unreasonable & throughout; The President of the United States and countries around the world? How countries respond?

this will require a running-in process, in this period, there is compromise, has the power to restructuring, also have & other Dad marry die, and every one of personal & throughout; The chaos of the confusion, the whole world need a adapt and running-in process. Trump policy impact on the world is full, the political, economic, security, military, finance, etc., all countries need to adjust their mentality, but also need to do well the strategic management in China, deal with properly.

exclusive production, phoenix discloser article reprint please indicate the source and author’s last name, offenders.

Yang yi, China’s national defense university, director of the institute of strategic studies the original and embassy attache, rear admiral, a well-known scholar of the china-us strategic. In the current china-us relations are experiencing a special period, Yang yi, in the first three Pacific securities & other; One Belt And One Road & throughout; Internal BBS published the latest view.

Son of Taiwanese artists threatened to make school shooting was arrested in the United States


DiYing and son

, according to the web on March 29th Taiwan artiste AnZuo has accused the sons of his, DiYing the high school, and threatened to shoot attacks in the United States 27 local time later arrested by the police. After the incident, Sun Anzuo mother DiYing said son & other; It is only a joke is alarm & throughout; , also denied Sun Anzuo gun. For media Sun Anzuo carry the bullet, DiYing claims to be New Year’s day when they buy from Taiwan to his son shooting used in the past, also said & other; Tomorrow will be flying throughout the United States to save son &; .

Hong Kong DaGongWang reported, Pennsylvania has ascended than police chief edgewood (Michael Chitwood) 28, at a news conference, said the police search found that Sun Anzuo use, issued by the school of searching on the Internet how to buy AK – 47 rifles and AR – 15 rifle. At the same time, the police also in Sun Anzuo host family room, find out the type vest, military ski masks, can carry the bullet bag, equipped with sight powerful crossbows and seven branches of bows and arrows, can be used in the support of assault rifles, wooden box of homemade handgun, 20 with 9 mm bullet suspicious objects, etc. Sun Anzuo had earlier told classmates said: & other; Don’t come to school on May 1 & throughout; Because he plans on that day & other; Come to school opened fire & throughout; , but later he changed to the classmate say, shooting notes & other; Just kidding & throughout; .

at present, Sun Anzuo accused misdemeanor crimes such as involved in the terrorist threat, level, imprisoned in Delaware County jail (Delaware County Prison), the judge ruled that bail of $100000, trial date will be April 11.

Taiwan & other; When the electronic newspaper & throughout; 29 reported that Sun Anzuo after the arrest in the United States back to Taiwan, its parent DiYing confirmed the arrest is the first time in the son of study in the United States. But when questioned deny her son gun, dissatisfaction with Taiwan media also reported content, said & other; He (Sun Anzuo) did not have a gun, there is something that we all know & throughout; . More said the bullet is after Chinese New Year when they order from the Internet to bring the United States, because Sun Anzuo like shooting, so help to shooting clubs again after the order, & other; All of these in the United States is legal & throughout; .

after Sun Anzuo DiYing whining about host families in the United States to assist please lawyer is not good enough, said & other; Tomorrow will fly the son to save & throughout; .

it is known that Sun Anzuo last summer to study in the United States Bonner prendergast Catholic high school in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Bonner & amp; Prendergast who High School). Still can’t and family contact after the incident, the police find out further details remain to be the United States.

Russian media: Romania nuclear reactor accident stopped working

overseas net on March 29 (xinhua) according to the Russian satellite news agency reported, Romania plant power system fails, the reactor with grid automatically cut off.

it is reported that the romanian Nuclearelectrica state-owned nuclear power company said in a statement, & other; On March 25, unit 2 lower yields and cut off today. Throughout the &; The company in the southeast Romania Selma that v have two 706 – megawatt reactor.

after the company said, Selma it fell to the first power unit on March 25, 2018, 9 am 20 points when closed, the second unit will power down to 55% (300 mw).

according to the report, the accident to the staff, the people and the environment will not have a negative impact.

The ministry of commerce: China door is always open but there is a principle of negotiations

Beijing, March 29 (xinhua) (reporter jia xin) in China and the United States has been in discussions to avoid a trade war, commerce ministry spokesman peak 29, said China’s door is always open negotiations, but there is a principle of negotiations, must be equal and constructive.

summit was held in the ministry of commerce said at a news conference. He particularly stressed that both sides is principled negotiation, the United States must give up unilateralism, trade protectionism; Negotiations must be equal, China will not accept any negotiations under the stress of unilateral; Negotiations should be constructive and balanced, needs the joint efforts of both sides.

he also pointed out that the basis & other; Throughout 301 survey &; Tariffs for China, both under a violation of article 2 of GATT1994 the tariff concession promise, also in violation of the most-favoured-nation treatment obligations under article 1 is openly challenge to multilateral trade rules.

& other; As to how to solve the sino-us trade disputes, I think that tied the bell on the tiger take must still be, the United States must stop its mistake and put its unilateralism, the trade protectionism & lsquo; Stick & rsquo; Through the negotiations both sides equal, mutual benefit, to find a win-win solution. Throughout the &; The summit said. The

The inter-korean summit April 27th China: welcome appreciation would like to see!

the web comprehensive coverage 】 【 on March 28, 2018, foreign ministry spokesman lu kang held a regular press conference, a reporter asked, today in high-level talks held in panmunjom, north and South Korea agreed on April 27 in panmunjom South Korea north and South Korea leaders held on one side of the home of peace. Do you have any comment?

lu kang responded that the DPRK and the rok held high-level talks today and north and South Korea leaders agreed date, we welcome, to the DPRK and the rok for this.

as a peninsula of close neighbors, China has been happy to see the DPRK and the rok dialogue, improve mutual relations, reconciliation and cooperation, because this is in our Shared interests, can also help to easing the situation in the peninsula, is conducive to peace and stability in the region.

since this year, the situation of the Korean peninsula has positive changes, the dialogue is to become the main melody in the peninsula issue. As is known to all, China has been sticking to and promoting this.

it is our hope that the momentum of dialogue can continue, the situation of peace to continue. We also called on relevant parties to support the peninsula together the two sides to improve relations, to make peace and promote talks together to make a real effort to promote the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula and the political process to solve the problem of the peninsula, make peace and stability and booming peninsula and the region of the backdrop of the situation.